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The Emperor’s New Swing

April 14th, 2012

It’s no secret that Vernon Wells had a terrible, horrible, no good, very bad 2011.

You know it, I know it, my dog is even vaguely aware of it. The best spin doctors in the game couldn’t turn the league’s worst batting average and the lowest OBP since forever into something positive.

No one was probably more aware of this fact than Vernon Wells himself.

Deciding he needed to make some drastic changes to his offensive approach over the offseason, Wells sought the advice of Cubs hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo.

According to several articles published following the sessions with Jaramillo, Wells effectively “retooled” and completely overhauled his swing to avoid the “pull-happy” approach that allegedly plagued him in 2011.

If this is truly the case, then it stands to reason that the changes in Vernon’s swing should be visibly detectable, so that’s what this post aims to do.

I don’t know the first thing about what does or doesn’t make for an effective swing so this post isn’t going to be is an in-depth analysis of Vernon’s swing mechanics. Rather we’re going to make a side by side comparison of last year’s swing and the “new” swing to see what, if anything, has visibly changed.

To set a baseline of sorts, lets look at two full before and after swings then jump into the side-by-side breakdown.

Here’s a .gif of Wells’ 2011 “pull-happy” swing at Fenway Park on May 4, 2011, with Vernon connecting with his third homerun of the season:

And here is a .gif of a double to right-center in Spring Training last month:

The two swings are looked at from slightly different camera angles and the frame rates aren’t identical, which is unfortunate, but they are close enough that it shouldn’t be an issue.

1: Stance

Vernon has a tendency to rock his hands up and down, bounce, tap his front foot and wiggle the bat around while waiting for the pitcher’s delivery. This hasn’t changed at all. As such Vernon appears to be a bit more upright and his hands a bit higher in the new stance, but this isn’t actually the case; he’s just at a different stage of bouncing around. His feet may be a smidge closer together but otherwise his starting stance is virtually unchanged.

2: Load

One of the things Wells and Jaramillo apparently focused on was “getting a proper load”. As Vernon begins his load sequence, bringing up his front foot, his first move in both the old and new swing is to shift his weight back and bring his hands downward. No visible difference here, maybe the change occurs when the front foot is planted.

3: Swing Start

No discernable difference here either. As the load foot comes down, Vernon shifts his weight a bit and brings his hands back and up, with the bat at a 45 degree angle behind his head. His hips appear to be on primed for rotation and he’s gone into his signature chipmunk cheek hitter face.

4: Rotation

The second big thing Wells and Jaramillo were said to have worked on was developing a “more consistent swing path”. Now, both of these swings have positive outcomes so it’s possible (likely, even) that this is the swing path he wants to replicate. Looks pretty dang identical so far: still in chipmunk face, right knee collapsed, left leg firmly planted, shoulders tilted upward as the hands come through.

5: Contact

Despite the pitches being in different locations and hit to different parts of the field, Vernon appears to be in the same position just prior to the point of contact in both swings.

6: Extension

More of the same… sameness: his weight is back which creates a sort of arch from his right heel to right shoulder, both arms are straight as the top hand begins to roll over, his head is down. I really want to find differences in the swings but they’re just not there.

7: Follow-through

Same as ever, Vernon has a brief high follow-through that he snaps back out of with a little hop from his back foot to his front. Nothing appears to be different.

—–

Well, I honestly started this post hoping to find evidence of changes in Vernon’s swing that I could parlay into a positive attitude about his performance this season. But they’re just not there.

Despite working in the offseason to reportedly conduct a complete overhaul of his swing–and the press telling us this was so–it appears Vernon Wells has changed essentially nothing. If I had told you the old swing was actually the new swing, there’d really be no way for you to know.

Habits are incredibly difficult to change, especially those involving intricate muscle memory. Our perception of what are bodies are doing and what they actually are doing is often very disparate. While we may think we’ve made a significant change in an action (say, sitting up straight in a chair), our body often reverts to its old position/habit without our conscious knowing.

I don’t doubt for a second that Vernon intended to change his swing, it just hasn’t happened. I realize that even minute changes to a swing at the professional level can invoke drastically different results (see: Jose Bautista), but it certainly doesn’t appear to the naked eye that anything in Vernon Wells’ swing has changed.

You’re more than welcome to prove me wrong–and I sincerely hope Vernon does–but I think this early 2012 spray chart speaks volumes to support my verdict.

As the chart shows, Vernon is still “pull-happy” and I think he always will be. He may think he has a new swing, but what I posit he really has is just a new mental outlook on his swing. Confidence in one’s offensive approach is important but I do not think it’s enough to garner better results when there are significant physical flaws in that approach.

I’d like to see Vernon Wells succeed but it just doesn’t seem to be in the cards.

Perhaps it’s time to free Mike Trout.

Follow Nathan Aderhold on Twitter: @AdrastusPerkins.

Comments

6 Comments

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  • Tim says on: April 14, 2012 at 2:56 am

     

    Wait until teams shift him…

  • Tim says on: April 14, 2012 at 2:57 am

     

    oh, and great breakdown by the way.

  • SCott says on: April 20, 2012 at 6:10 pm

     

    I second Tim…excellent breakdown. I’d like to see the same for a 2011 vs. 2012 version of Wells rolling over and grounding to the left side. He’s really good at that.

    The horse has been beaten and buried, but this was the worst trade possible at the worst time possible. We fans are fans for a reason, and GMs are GMs for a reason…I just can’t think of the reason why Reagins/Scioscia/Moreno would make this trade. There is no defense of it. Just none. Less than 10% of the season has been played, but while his BA is up twenty or so points, the OBP is still in the range of what a high school sophomore could accomplish in the big leagues. I give Wells two more weeks, if for no reason other than that albatross contract, to get both the BA and OBP raised by 50 points. If he doesn’t, Mike Trout must be called up and Vernon must accept that he will be a part time player until he is released or dealt in a colossal salary dump.

  • Paul says on: April 22, 2012 at 3:34 am

     

    Fools!

    Nothing was wrong with Wells, just a case of bad luck.
    Everyone was pleased with Well’s production in 2010 posting a .273/.331.515 slash line. So what so wrong in 2011… Nothing!

    Breaking down Wells-
    Well’s swing & miss % went from 9.6 in 2010 to 9.4 in 2011. Contact % from 81.1 to 81.3. Outside (strike zone) swing % from 33.5 to 35.2, outside contact % from 65.7 to 66.3, see a big difference yet?

    The big difference you can look at is his LD% in 2010 went from bad (15.9) to completely awful (12.3). But only being league average or better in this category in 3 out of 10 finished seasons, its not expected of him.
    With Wells LD% at a career low his FB% was a career high at 48.1% , in some cases this could be good but with an aging Wells it was not.

    Moving to the big number, BABIP. Wells only produced a BABIP of .214 in 2011, with all of his swinging stats remaining the same from 2010 where Wells batted a BABIP of .272

    Once again, Wells just ran into a case of bad luck in 2011.

    Wells didn’t need a change in swing, just needed a new year.. 2012.

    Paul

  • http://www.reddit.com says on: May 6, 2012 at 4:13 am

     

    A interesting blog post there mate ! Thank you for posting .

  • http://www.reddit.com says on: May 6, 2012 at 4:14 am

     

    When are you going to post again? You really entertain a lot of people!

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