Baseball Prospectus’s uber projection tool PECOTA gives Halos fans some reason to be optimistic. Today, BP released its 2013 projections, and PECOTA predicts that the Angels will win American League West with a 90-72 season. Finishing second, the Texas Rangers are projected to finish 87-75.
90 wins seems like a reasonable estimate for the Angels, who are coming off an 89-73 campaign. Arguments can be made against the strength of the club’s relatively older rotation, and, as Andrew Karcher wrote last week, Mike Trout could be due for some regression. These fallbacks are met by the addition of Josh Hamilton, a significantly stronger bullpen, a potential bounce back for Albert Pujols, the addition of the Astros to the bottom of the division, and fewer plate appearances from Vernon Wells.
With all of that on the table, a one-game improvement seems to short-change the club’s offseason. Over the next few days we’ll sort through many of the individual projections to see where we (actually just I) disagree with one of baseball’s most respected projection systems, but today, we can rejoice in the fact that the pundits believe in the Halos!